England have been tipped to win the World Cup in Qatar by Lloyd's of London based on a prediction model using players' collective insurable value as the commercial insurance market targets a hat-trick after picking the last two champions.
According to analysis backed by the Centre for Economics and Business Research, which ranks the teams based on the collective insurable value of their players, England's squad will have an estimated insurable value of £3.17 billion . Using this methodology to play out the tournament in full, Lloyd's predicted that England - champions in 1966 - will finish top of Group B in Qatar and seal knockout wins over Senegal, France, Spain and then Brazil.
Research also found that players aged between 18-24 have an average insurable value of £32 million compared to £12 million for players over 31.