China investment consensus cracks as politics fuel fears

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Decades-long foreign bullishness on China's capital markets is breaking down, investment flows and interviews with fund managers suggest, with a new era of uncertainty fuelled by geopolitical risks and U.S. investors especially wary.

But big, long-term foreign investors, are missing. Their absence, and asset managers' reasons for it, reveal a wariness in the investment community over how to price new risks for capital as China becomes a great power and a great U.S. rival.

"It's around capital preservation, not really the returns," said Hayden Briscoe, Asia-Pacific head of multi-asset portfolio management, at UBS Asset Management in Hong Kong. " still looking at geopolitical risk and the Russia experience recently probably makes them more tentative than they normally are."that the bid from long-only money managers is absent.

Allocation analysis from data firm EPFR shows a broad downtrend, especially to U.S.-domiciled China funds. Allocation to those hit a record low last October and has been falling on an annual basis for four years, EPFR figures show.

 

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