S&P 500 has entered a bull market, but Wall Street can't decide if it's real

. The US now has a 70% chance of tipping into recession by May 2024, per the latest projections from the New York Fed – an event that could easily throw the rally in stocks to the wayside.

Meanwhile, rising interest rates over the past year are tightening financial conditions, making recession more likely. And though central bankers kept rates steady at their policy meeting on Wednesday, officials suggested more"This market continues to be nothing more than a short-term momentum play," Rosenberg said in a recent note."You can believe the press headlines or you can believe the leading indicators — which suggest that we do indeed have a 99.

"This recent bull market move is no guarantee we are out of the woods from the downturn," Siegel said in his

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