In the context of potential downward movements, a silver lining emerges in the form of substantial buyer support extending downwards to the $80 level. This hints at the underlying market sentiment that views such pullbacks as opportunities for strategic acquisitions. Amidst these dynamics, the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average emerges as a crucial reference point. Positioned around the $77.89 mark, it serves as a metaphorical floor for the ongoing uptrend.
The Brent crude market, known for its historical correlation with WTI crude, mirrored the latter's performance during the Thursday session. The $87.50 level posed resistance, consistent with its past behavior. This recurring pattern of resistance isn't surprising, and its manifestation on Thursday only reinforces this characteristic.
Consequently, the scenario suggests that buyers are likely to triumph, perpetuating crude oil's upward momentum. In the broader context, as market participants navigate potential fluctuations, it's important to factor in the inherent noise associated with such markets. While short-term volatility can obscure the landscape, the overarching trend underscores the market's propensity to advance. With a forecast pointing towards higher prices, Brent crude's march towards the $90 level could potentially intersect with various options barriers.
In the end, the recent episode of resistance in crude oil markets aligns with expectations of temporary exhaustion. While short-term fluctuations are natural, the prevailing sentiment leans towards a continued upward trajectory. Investors should be prepared for fluctuations while recognizing the underlying upward bias.