LONDON, Oct 3 - British shoppers enjoyed a novel experience last month: lower food prices. Admittedly, the fall in the average food basket between August and September was just 0.1%, according to the British Retail Consortium. But it was the first monthly fall in food prices since July 2021 and brought down overall retail inflation to 6.2%, the lowest in a year.
That’s good for consumers, especially those who like dairy products, margarine, fish and vegetables – the items that caused the overall fall. It also vindicates last month’s decision by the Bank of England to hold interest rates at 5.25% after 14 consecutive hikes, especially if the official inflation figures due out next week mirror the BRC’s findings.
Grocers have less to celebrate. Helen Dickinson, the BRC’s CEO, said that “fierce competition” drove prices down. Retailers are already feeling the pinch – J Sainsbury’s EBITDA margin is expected to fall to 6.7% in its current financial year, down from 6.9% in the 12 months ending March 2023, according to LSEG forecasts. A price war to win over stretched shoppers is the last thing they need.
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