The five-year US Treasury note yield has been lower than the three-month Treasury bill yield since March 7, a key recessionary signal if it stays this way for a full quarter.
The alarm in the bond market first rang in December, when the US three- and five-year Treasury yields"inverted" — a signal from credit markets than can often predict recessions. The latest curve inversion is what Harvey calls one of"four horsemen" predicting potential recession. Here they are:A quarter-long inversion in the three-month and five-year Treasury yield curves
. The study found that half of CFOs are planning on a recession at the end of 2019 or first part of 2020. 82% believe a recession will start by the end of 2020.The probability of a US recession just spiked the most in 30 years — UBS says 'even we are surprised by this'
We have summarized this news so that you can read it quickly. If you are interested in the news, you can read the full text here. Read more:
Business Business Latest News, Business Business Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
The bond market is flashing a major buy sign for stocks, says Jim PaulsenWorried investors searching for meaning in the bond market and its relationship to stocks may feel vindication after this week. They would be wrong, says Jim Paulsen. Support the system!!!
Source: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Read more »
These high-yielding stocks are beating the market this yearShares of Coty, Philip Morris, Western Digital, Exxon Mobil and General Motors don't just pay high dividends, but they're also crushing the major averages this year. GM💙
Source: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Read more »
Cramer: Following these 6 stocks will help you predict which way the market is goingJim Cramer describes why investors can get a pulse of the market tracking companies like CVS, FedEx, and Facebook, among others.
Source: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Read more »
JP Morgan is about to launch the lowest-fee US stock market ETF yetJ.P. Morgan is about to launch a broad US stock market exchange-traded fund that charges two basis points, beating out ETFs by Schwab, Vanguard and BlackRock. Tax each wall St transaction. taxtherich just say J.P. Morgan is launching a scam.. dont get all fancy with your words. lol It's ok don't be embarrassed that your promoting garbage and a criminal organization, its the information you have. Is it the stuff-we-cant-get-anyone-to-buy ETF?
Source: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Read more »
Jeffrey Gundlach says the stock market was and still is in a bear marketAfter a stellar rebound, Jeffrey Gundlach still thinks stocks are in a bear market. wait & see time so we should shift to bull market soon.. or at some point :) What is his definition of a bear market.
Source: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Read more »
'Don't trust the strong rally': Morgan Stanley warns stocks aren't out of the woods just yetThe stock market's rally so far this year shouldn't be trusted, Morgan Stanley equity strategists said in a new report. LiveSquawk Don't look for accurate stock market news from BusinessInsider
Source: BusinessInsider - 🏆 729. / 51 Read more »