-- Cracks are deepening for vulnerable emerging-market companies as global borrowing rates surge to the highest levels since the financial crisis, halting refinancing opportunities for $400 billion worth of a debt maturities coming due in the new year.As US Treasury yields soar to 15-year highs and borrowing costs skyrocket, companies from developing nations have managed to only rollover a tenth of what they need.
We’re already seeing this play out in situations from Colombia to Dubai, where some companies had no option but to cover their upcoming maturities at nearly double-digit interest rates. For instance, Colombia’s Ecopetrol SA had to pay 8.625% and 9% to borrow $1.5 billion in June, a 4 percentage-point increase in its borrowing costs in two years. Dubai-based Shelf Drilling Holdings Ltd. sold $1.1 billion of bonds last month at 10.
“I am very selective now,” said Peter Varga, a senior professional portfolio manager at Erste Asset Management GmbH. “Weak names which survived with low refinancing costs will drop out. But I am happy to buy the names where I think the management is strong and can manage eventual slippage in fundamentals.”
“We still have a few borrowers who are closely monitoring market conditions to find a favorable window for issuance, but pipelines tend to become much more opportunistic from November,” said Stefan Weiler, the head of debt capital markets for central and eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa at JPMorgan Chase & Co.
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