Stocks and currencies in Asia gained along with a weakness in the dollar, as traders embraced riskier assets on prospects the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle is nearing an end.
Traders are now turning their attention to the US nonfarm payroll data due later Friday for further conviction on the Fed’s rate path. Bloomberg Economics expects the pace of hiring to slow to less than half of September’s strong gain. Long-dated Treasury yields fell Thursday. The 10-year benchmark slipped nearly eight basis points. Trading in Treasuries in Asia will be closed given the holiday in Japan.
Others hold a more cautious view. Hedge fund K2 Asset Management is predicting that benchmark 10-year Treasury yields will rise back to 5% — from 4.66% — while Franklin Templeton says they could peak at 5.25% — a level last seen in 2007. Barclays Plc co-head of global markets Stephen Dainton said it is “very unlikely” the Fed is done tightening policy.
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