Rob Arnott warns on market bubbles, shares where to find bargains - Business Insider

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'We are going to see some big shifts in the coming 3-6 months': Investing pioneer Rob Arnott sounds the alarm on the market's greatest bubbles, including the big-tech boom — and tells us where he is finding bargains now

movies will diminish. And the threat to the thin-profit-margin value stocks will diminish, which means we could see some shocking mean reversion with the tech stocks falling back down to vaguely sane prices, and the value stocks recovering as they shed some of that bankruptcy fear.

Historically, growth stocks have been about 4.5 times as expensive as value. In 2007, growth was four times as expensive. During the tech bubble, growth was about 9.5 times more expensive than value. These days, growth is about 12 times more expensive than value, Arnott explained. "The banking sector is badly disadvantaged by zero interest rates, but that can change in a new administration or a changed set of priorities for the Fed in the years ahead," he said.

 

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