Will the stock market tumble back to its coronavirus lows in March? About 92 years of S&P 500 history says there’s a good chance

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Will the U.S. stock market retest bear-market lows put in on March 23?

That is perhaps the most prevalent question on Wall Street. And while there’s no way of knowing the answer for sure, if history is any guide, when the stock-market slips into a bear market, typically defined by a decline of at least 20% from a recent peak, it tends to return to return to that low more often than not, according to data from Bespoke Investment Group.

MarketWatch has written about the likelihood of a so-called retest of those levels, which may result in the indexes returning to or exceeding March’s drop, with Mark Hulbert suggesting that small-capitalization stocks are sending a bullish signal. Check out: The next stock-market bounce will give way to ‘drop’ and retest of the low, says Wall Street analyst

Making a finer point, however, Bespoke notes that of the 11 bear markets from 1928 through 1940, 9 of them saw the S&P 500 make a lower low, but since 1940 most bear markets have tended not to see retest :

 

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Yes. No doubt after Q2 earnings, maybe earlier. $SRTY target $43, could spike to $60 + , again.

No.

No way! With ample liquidity. It doesn’t mean it will go all the way up though.

I hope so!! I can’t wait to be rich as hell in a year or two cause of it 🤑🤑🤑

And the purpose of that question is? Foolish journalism!

Not of the FEDs keep propping it up. It is an election year after all.

Wrong, it will go through the lows

Nothing will happen, bullish!

Dam right! Even lower

Yes!!! 😢😢

Elon Musk should be arrested. ElonMusk

Yeah!

Most likely... Fundamentals haven't changed... Just an ENORMOUS infusion of created dollars from the FED. bearmarket

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