Rogers and Chafin, both 32-year-old lefties, stick out as the best bets for reliability from the group above over the next one or two seasons. Rogers opened 2022 with two strong months as San Diego's closer before struggling badly, losing his job and eventually being traded to Milwaukee for Josh Hader. From 2017-21, he had a 2.95 ERA and 1.12 WHIP with 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings. He's a fastball-slider guy whose heater averaged 94.3 mph last season.
A few relievers with lesser resumes than Rogers or Chafin have already signed multi-year deals worth at least $7.5 million annually, so the numbers will be higher than that. The Phillies signed Strahm for $15 million over two years. The Red Sox signed Martin for $17.5 million over two years. Rogers and Chafin have been better than both.projected Rogers to sign a three-year, $30 million contract and Chafin to sign for two years, $18 million.
Assuming health, there are five locks for the Phillies' bullpen in Seranthony Dominguez, Jose Alvarado, Strahm, Connor Brogdon and Andrew Bellatti. Sam Coonrod would appear to have a good shot, as well. The Phillies like right-handed relief prospects Andrew Baker and Francisco Morales, each of whom will pitch at age 23 in 2023.