This article views the gold stock sector"s big picture bullish situation from the standpoint of a single indicator, the HUI/Gold ratio and its relationship to the 30 year Treasury bond yield.
Indeed, we reviewed both the technical and fundamental situations in Friday"s NFTRH Trade Log & Notes, and have been tracking each routinely in weekend reports. We will be present and accounted for when the time is right to pound the table because NFTRH is committed to right-minded, as opposed to promotional or hopeful analysis.
With many upside pings of the blue line on the chart above, the 30 year Treasury yield indicated inflationary pressure running hot and thus, a bad time to be getting bullish on gold mining. Need any further proof that sources touting inflation as a reason to buy gold stocks are wrong?Gold stocks have routinely been impaired during the long inflation cycle.
As to"why" the chart"s trend relationship between the HUI/Gold ratio and the yield may prove bullish for gold miners, since gold is proven to out-perform the miners during inflationary phases, what might happen when the macro flips the other way? If our view is correct, gold stocks should out-perform when the yield normalizes ? Probably not the minute that yields obviously top and drop , but eventually the miners will grind out a bull market that few will expect.