JP Morgan sees portfolio rebalancing lifting U.S. stocks 7% next week

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The end of the month is a busy time for investors with fixed-weight portfolio, bringing the potential for notable gains

Next week marks the end of the month, second quarter and first half of the year, making for a busy time for investors with fixed-weight portfolios, who must rebalance their asset exposure to account for past market moves.

The S&P 500 is down about 14% for the quarter-to-date period, and down 18% for the year, as investors have been spooked by aggressive Federal Reserve interest rate hikes aimed at curbing surging inflation. Meanwhile, bonds, which usually offer investors succor in times of volatility have also sold off, as rising inflation unsettled investors.

“On top of that, the market is in an oversold condition, cash balances are at record levels, and recent market shorting activity reached levels not seen since 2008,” Kolanovic said.

 

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