Fed's Goolsbee isn't worried about the cooling labor market yet

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Austan Goolsbee Berita

Jennifer Schonberger,Fed,Federal Reserve

The unemployment has increased over the past two months now standing at 4.1 % for June. It's higher than the June 2023 rates of 3.4%, but is still...

The unemployment has increased over the past two months now standing at 4.1 % for June. It's higher than the June 2023 rates of 3.4%, but is still historically low.Goolsbee says the labor market has been"cooling to a position of better balance, but it has been cooling. And that in itself is not the usual historic norm. It doesn't usually cool mildly. We are either improving or getting worse. So it's definitely an area of concern, one to keep your eye on.

So if you just kind of look at the through line, it's very clear that inflation's come way down in a 12 to 8 month period.This is about as fast as inflation has ever fallen in the US, and we did it without a recession.It's not done, but, uh, but it makes me feel a lot better when you both see it for multiple months in a row, and you see the components that you're finally starting to see the declines of housing inflation that we've been anticipating.

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