As corporate leaders increase their grim pronouncements about the future, there are still market economists who see stocks heading higher in the second half of this year and who say the US could sidestep a recession. Like all good statisticians, they have numbers to prove this.
“An easing up of supply chains implies less inflationary pressures as factories can get goods out the door quicker,” Dutta said. At the same time, consumer behaviour is changing, with goods consumption slipping 1.3% as services consumption gains 1.2%. Less demand and improved production “ought to result in a drop in prices,” he added. China’s Recovery JPMorgan Chase & Co’s Marko Kolanovic said the past year’s deep selloff in Chinese equities could finally be on the cusp of a turnaround.
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