It’s hard to tell where economic fundamentals end and fear begins right now. Last week US bond yields ticked up briefly when President Donald Trump waylaid Chinese tariff increases until later this year. But then fears of global recession sent yields racing back to historic lows as investors piled back into US government bonds.
If this is the case, then what we saw last week is the beginning of a destructive spiral that could end in a global recession. But is this the case? Are economic conditions as dire as recent investor actions suggest? The US economy is still looking relatively healthy, with most economic statistics confirming that it is on track to be the fastest-growing G7 country this year. Old Mutual Multi Managers investment strategist, Izak Odendaal, points out that all the latest reports on the US economy show healthy levels of consumer spending, supported by a strong job market, low inflation and low-interest rates.In the middle run, that is, over the next few years, the U.S.
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