The official definition of a bear market is a 20% or greater decline from an index’s previous high. Accordingly, the three major U.S. stock-market benchmarks — the Nasdaq COMP, +2.31%, the S&P 500 SPX, +2.37% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +2.47% — are currently all in a bear market.
2. Low-volume rallies: Another bear market clue is that stocks move higher on low volume. This is a clue the major financial institutions aren’t buying, although algos and hedge funds might be. It’s easy for the algos to push prices higher in a low-volume environment, one of the reasons for monster rallies that go nowhere the following day .
5. Mutual-fund redemptions: During this stage, after looking at their quarterly and monthly statements, horrified investors throw in the towel and sell their mutual funds . As a result, mutual fund companies are forced to sell . Typically, when the indexes fall more than 20%, mutual fund redemptions increase.
8. Bulls throw in the towel: As trading volume increases on down days, and some investors experience 30% or higher losses, they give up hope and sell. The market turns into a free-for-all as even the Fed appears to have lost control. Many in the media admit that a bear market has arrived. Take action This bear market is fairly young, but already there have been so many failed rallies that many investors are too afraid to buy. Some investors with cash are looking for bargains, but it takes nerves of steel to buy when everyone is selling.
cpcconsultant
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If it was so predictable then no one will be throwing in the towel. At every rally, there will be somebody saying the bottom has been reached and eventually some of them will be right and claim to be great prognosticators. Others will never be mentioned. 🤷♂️
Lol
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Fonte: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Leggi di più »
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