It's too hard to make business decisions in the face of climate uncertainty—here's how 'storylines' could help
They can project how temperature, rainfall, winds, fire risk and even hail risk are likely to change in future.For example, how average winter rainfall is expected to change over southwest Western Australia could be relatively clear, but how extreme rainfall will change is far less clear. The valuable information held in climate model projections is combined with other types of evidence relevant to a location, to develop a plausible story about what the future might entail.changes to the catchment such as vegetation, soils and the nature of any upstream developments, including new roads or buildings.
It challenges us to work—through interdisciplinary dialogue—with experts, disciplines and knowledge we might feel uncomfortable with.