CNBC's Inside India newsletter: Stocks had a record-breaking rally. What's next?

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India ニュース

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After a record-breaking 14-day rally, analyst fear risks are rising from the stock market's own success.

This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. Like what you see? You can subscribeEquities also set six all-time highs within that period.has been on the march throughout the year. There have been 44 record highs set in this year's 169 trading sessions, according to CNBC's count.

"As signaled by other macro indicators, like low inflation, a small current account deficit, and rapidly consolidating fiscal balances, there is rising slack in the economy," said BofA's India economist Rahul Bajoria. "This is further corroborated by evidence of faltering consumer and business confidence, albeit persistent asset price inflation."

These risks could reveal themselves in the form of a correction in the equity market — meaning a drop of more than 10% from the most recent peak, according to Morgan Stanley. "Rising index weight can be a tell tale sign of exuberance," said Morgan Stanley's Ridham Desai in a note to clients on Sept 4. "Of course, it could also be happening due to fundamental factors such as improving free float and rising relative earnings."

 

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