Tom Lee — managing partner and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors — broke down the four factors informing his belief that stocks can "still go up a lot."
Among his reasons are the Fed and fiscal policy, a global labor shortage, and the growing population of millennials in the US.Visit Business Insider's homepage for more storiesStocks have demonstrated "extreme resilience" in 2020, according to renowned strategist Tom Lee, who thinks they can "still go up a lot."
In a recent note to clients, the managing partner and head of research of Fundstrat Global Advisors broke down four factors factors driving this belief:Lee said the Federal Reserve and fiscal policy are providing "massive support" to markets, and thinks Wednesday's decision to keep rates lower for longer underscores this. He reiterated the age-old advice "don't fight the Fed," but added that economic policy can't be the sole factor driving stocks higher.
The US has been structurally short labor since 2015, and Lee said the world is becoming more reliant on technology to offset this labor supply contraction. He said technology is likely to become 50% of the S&P 500.Millennials are the single largest ever generation in the US, but aren't expected to peak in total size until 2038, said Lee. Since 1900, every generational "peak" coincided with a "major market top" of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Reason 1 The fed is handing out nearly free money that then goes into questionable stock buys, raising share prices artificially Duh.
They can also go down a lot. Or the market can remain flat. See? I'm a stock market wizard too.
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