What impact will US elections have on the stock market?

  • 📰 BusinessTimes
  • ⏱ Reading Time:
  • 35 sec. here
  • 2 min. at publisher
  • 📊 Quality Score:
  • News: 17%
  • Publisher: 51%

대한민국 뉴스 뉴스

대한민국 최근 뉴스,대한민국 헤드 라인

GLOBAL stock market performance from here to the end of the year will be heavily influenced by the US elections in November. Read more at The Business Times.

Stock markets hate uncertainty, which is why the historical tendency has been that an incumbent party win is the most positive for stock markets in an election year, while an incumbent party loss the most negative.

So what is the most likely outcome currently, and what should investors pay attention to over the next six weeks?Since 1952, no president has ever been re-elected when there was either a 20 per cent decline in stocks or a recession in the election year. This year we had both. Market commentators point to this statistic and close their forecasts, concluding that Mr Trump will lose.

Mr Trump's approval ratings at mid-year were the lowest of any president in modern times, at just 38 per cent. No president has ever been re-elected with ratings this low. If positive the incumbent has won a majority of the time. If negative the incumbent has lost most of the time.

 

귀하의 의견에 감사드립니다. 귀하의 의견은 검토 후 게시됩니다.
이 소식을 빠르게 읽을 수 있도록 요약했습니다. 뉴스에 관심이 있으시면 여기에서 전문을 읽으실 수 있습니다. 더 많은 것을 읽으십시오:

 /  🏆 15. in KR

대한민국 최근 뉴스, 대한민국 헤드 라인