New study finds electoral uncertainty threatens international investment at companies with government ties

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In emerging countries, where the differences between political parties are considerable, elections often bring sweeping policy changes, even when the incumbents remain in power. This electoral uncertainty creates challenges for all businesses, and a new study in the Global Strategy Journal finds that—contrary to conventional belief—these challenges are particularly relevant for state-owned businesses.

are less likely to internationalize in an election year, and when they do, they implement more flexible strategies than fully private companies," says Rodrigo DeMello, an associate professor of management at Bentley University.

"The role of the home government supporting its multinationals is well documented; however, multinationals from emerging countries face potential disruption of this support in election years," says Gama. State indirect ownership organizations are 20% less likely than private companies to expand abroad during election years. They are also almost 40% more likely to establish foreign service subsidiaries over manufacturing plants and 10% more likely to establish a wholly owned subsidiary as opposed to a jointly owned one.

 

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