Why investors care so much about market rotation

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Madison Mills 뉴스

Jared Blikre,Market

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"Markets can either be rotating or they can be trending. And when they're rotating, they tend to go sideways," Blikre explains. When investors"see everything hitting new highs every day," that usually indicates that we are in a"bull market. And the opposite is also true. When things are going down every day, that's a bear market. But in between you just have this market rotation. And so that's kind of like keeping the market alive.

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So that your correction territory is another thing, let's say 10% because that's the magical number for correction.And this is something that I've said for years, media has their own definitions of bull markets and bear markets that they use to make things simple and to convey information to everybody out there and it kind of works.

Like, I mean, analysts are, but are you asking about the media function like checking corporate America?Well, it's interesting, I think that they may not phrase it like that, but I think the investors that I talk to and I do this a lot on Tik Tok in terms of like talking to people about their own portfolios, they're just worried about the tech trade because what they know is they're a 401k millionaire for the first time and we have record breaking numbers for 401k millionaires...

When you do that, you simplify things and just to get back to the main point, uh could you have a recession in Florida while New York is booming.And I think that accounts for a lot of the disconnect that we're seeing and that we hear in the media, not necessarily today, but always is that there's always that disconnect some parts, I mean, it's possible that every place is doing well at the same time and every place is doing poorly.

And so that gets into people's payroll schedules and all this, there's a million different things going on. Um, you know, volatility has its own schedule, which is a little bit independent of equities but, and we can talk about the VICS and why that is. So, not just every January but the January of the first year of a new president or the December of the last year or the election that, you know, the election month uh of election year, November and this year is supposed to be very bullish right after the election because that's when we see the clouds clear historically, that's what happens on average.

And that's kind of what happened over the pandemic when we had all the stimulus money, when we had, uh, that, you know, that fed into FTX, people got hooked on leverage and thought the party was gonna last last forever.But, uh, a lot of the time they do, I think most, I hope they do. But if you're someone who's checking in with them every day, you're like, oh, damn, it all went down I don't know.But also honestly, I've been investing my 401k for the past eight years.So dopamine, I think since I started working in this industry, I check it way more than when I was just kind of like letting it go.If you're focused on that in your life, you're going to like to have it happen more.

I remember I used to when I first started covering markets, I would see something like Tesla was the biggest mover of the day and I would call a Tesla analyst and say, ok, well, why is it moving?Um And, and similarly, I remember talking to Steve Sosnick with interactive brokers about uh why the market was selling off because I was so used to it ever since I started covering markets, it's been going up, up, up and up.

Um No, but, uh, and then, you know, being at Bloomberg, just being a financial reporters kind of part of the game.That's what it is, ask a lot of questions and try to do it.So my personal thing is that no matter how much I try and teach myself about options, I cannot seem to understand it.What is a financial uh term or, or asset or something that you just cannot under you, you guys, I can understand anything.

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