U.S. stocks moved lower at the start of trade Wednesday as investors gauged the potential recession signal offered by the inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve, while the intensifying U.S.-China trade war and the rising chances of a no-deal Brexit take their toll on global economic growth.
The spread between the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note TMUBMUSD10Y, +0.28% and that of the 2-year TMUBMUSD02Y, -1.82% fell deeper into negative territory Tuesday. This so-called “inversion” of the yield curve has been a reliable warning sign of recession historically. The 3-month/10-year measure of the curve — seen as a more reliable recession warning sign than the 2-year/10-year measure — has been inverted since May.
Skeptics have argued that the inversion might not offer as strong a signal in the current environment, which has seen central banks around the world employ bond buying in recent years in an effort to push down long-term yields. Which stocks are in focus? Shares of Tiffany & Co. TIF, +3.46% fell 1.8% after posting second-quarter earnings. The luxury jeweler reported second-quarter earnings that fell less than expected, though revenue fell just shy of Wall Street forecasts.
Up +24 at 10a. Dip
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Cramer's lightning round: Financial stocks are off limits until the yield curve improvesJim Cramer takes calls and delivers answers on viewers' stock picks of the day. Didn’t Cramer and his entire CNBC possy just advocate two weeks ago for financial stock? How the times have changed...
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