US equity futures fell along with stocks in Europe and the dollar resumed its upward march Thursday after high US inflation hardened expectations for more aggressive Federal Reserve monetary tightening that could trigger a recession.
Traders have shifted toward expectations of an historic one percentage-point Fed interest-rate hike later this month after the US consumer-price gauge clocked a 9.1 per cent annual climb. Fed Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said “everything is in play” to combat price pressures. The euro fell back toward US$1, after briefly dipping below it Wednesday, and European bonds plunged after Bloomberg reported that the European Commission had cut its growth forecast and lifted the inflation outlook for the common-currency area. Italy’s 10-year yield climbed more than 10 basis points and the country’s equty benchmark underperformed as Mario Draghi’s governing coalition appeared to be heading for a break-up.
If higher costs prove to be persistent and come alongside a global economy buckling under rate hikes, that could be toxic for a range of assets already nursing heavy losses in 2022.
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