A few groups of stocks that have underperformed the market markedly in the past month now look primed to bounce back. It’s a phenomenon known as a “mean reversion” trade.
All three exchange-traded funds are doing worse than the S&P 500, which has retreated roughly 2.8% in that time. The stocks in all three funds are vulnerable. Sales for manufacturers of heavy equipment are reliant on broadly strong demand for goods and services. The same goes for producers of metals and other raw materials, which sell those goods to the manufacturers. Sales for companies that sell consumer goods and services also are hit when people feel they have less money to spend.
“Long the worst performers of the prior month and shorting the best has gained more than half the time historically,” wrote 22V Research’s Dennis DeBusschere.
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