Brutal selloff skims froth from Japan’s $6 trillion stock market | Hideyuki Sano & Aya Wagatsuma

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Japanese equities shed $1.1 trillion in value as they kicked off August with a record three-day loss. For bullish investors, that’s providing a fresh reason to buy what has been one of 2024’s hottest trades.

The stocks that were hit the hardest are the ones that had soared the highest, bringing prices down to more attractive levels. The valuation improvement campaign that has boosted the international appeal of Japanese shares continues apace, and some of the froth has been removed from the now $6.1 trillion market.

“It’s not like we had a major economic or financial crisis,” said Tetsuro Ii, chief executive of Commons Asset Management Inc., adding that it will probably take just two or three months for the market to fully recover. Investors now recognize that monetary policy in Japan and the US has “entered a new stage,” having taken this as a cue to exit crowded positions.

Japan had become one of the favorite markets of global traders this year amid expectations that inflation will return after more than two decades of price stagnation and hopes that Japanese companies will return more cash to shareholders at the urging of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. “People felt the market was rising a bit too much last month” but with the selloff it “came back to where it should be,” said Masayuki Murata, general manager of balanced portfolio investment at Sumitomo Life Insurance Co. At current valuations, “you could say we are at bargain-hunting levels.”

The geopolitical tensions between Washington and Beijing that took the wind out of the tech stocks last month remain in play, especially with the US election looming.

 

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