Large global fund managers are defaulting on their commercial property loans.
Similar challenges have emerged in the US and European commercial real estate and non-bank lending markets. Brand-name REITs have gated investor withdrawals. And large global fund managers are defaulting on their commercial property loans.Even in the ostensibly strong US economy, characterised by a historically low 3.5 per cent jobless rate, robust GDP growth and brisk wages, bankruptcy filings are on track for their worst year since the global financial crisis.
The problem is that loans to zombie companies were advanced based on valuations that were over-inflated by the presumption of a perpetually cheap money paradigm. And as those zombie firms start dying, lenders are suddenly discovering that their loan-to-value ratios were actually much higher than they assumed when they extended this money.
“My view is that this is further increased by concentration risk as often these loan books and associated businesses are not diversified and heavily overweight residential property developers and commercial property .