A New Reason Investors Shouldn’t Try to Time the Stock Market

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Active investors, on average, assume much more risk to get lower returns, new research suggests

For some investors, trying to pick winners is simply more fun than sticking with long-term investments.Researchers have amassed plenty ofshowing that market timing—or moving in and out of stocks based on where you think the market is headed—often leads to lower returns.

But if that isn’t enough to convince you, perhaps this will: A new study finds that active trading also significantly increases the volatility of a portfolio. That is, market timers actually assume much more risk to get those lower returns, compared with investors who simply buy and hold investments.

These findings are timely, following a year in which the stock market took investors on a wild ride, plunging into a bear market early on and then surging to record highs at year’s end. Over the same time, digital apps that encourage Americans to engage in active trading strategies also experiencedas new investors—some likely stuck at home because of the pandemic and seeking new thrills—crowded into the market.

So as we enter a new year, and investors are forced to deal with a future full of uncertainty, it is worth looking atfrom Ilia Dichev of Emory University and Xin Zheng of University of British Columbia that explores the connection between active trading and risk. Although active investors tend to “chase stability”—they are trying to minimize volatility by market timing—they end up doing the exact opposite, according to the research, as they invest in stocks after past volatility is low and before future volatility is high. The end result is high capital exposure when volatility is increasing. In particular, Drs.

 

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Unless you know how to find the catalyst that moves the market. Like surfing, find the right wave and ride it. Like surfing you might fall but 3rd times a charm 🏄‍♂️ 🏄 🏄‍♀️

anabekoa i dont think this apply to u, even tho u r an a active investor it seems that in your historias del insta u always do good, no se si eres una buena estratega, es tu disciplina, tu organización o tus piedras de cuarzo q te ayudan 😁😁😁eres una niña muy linda😍saludos!!!

Shocker

But they have more fun

Shocking!

greed will destroy

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