The geopolitical risks that emerged Friday with an airstrike that killed an Iranian military commander are just the beginning.
Geopolitical risks are always a reason for caution, but they're unpredictable and get pushed to the sidelines in a bull market. Now, they're front and center. Savita Subramanian, chief quant and equity strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, recently put out a note saying the corporate earnings outlook is flat and that the market "feels toppy."CNBC's Bob Pisani recently reported
Historically, a forward-looking price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 is around 15. Today, it's about 18. "It's no great secret that U.S. companies have been piling on debt in the past decade," the analysts write. "A mere ten years after the financial crisis, total non-financial corporate debt stands just shy of $10 trillion, or about 50% higher than the lows seen in 2009. Interestingly, debt is NOT a major theme in today's marketplace."
"We are somewhat baffled by the gaggle of Wall Street strategists cheerleading the soft landing based on what we believe is a faulty reading of the macro indicators," he writes. "One frequent refrain is that we now have an upward sloping yield curve and hence recession risk has evanesced. Yet, the curve is, on average, 12 months ahead of the cycle, not an instantaneous indicator of real time recession risk.
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell testifies during a full committee hearing on "Monetary Policy and the State of the Economy" on July 10, 2019 in Washington,DC.the Fed does not anticipate making any changesA sharp increase in inflation, however, could force the Fed to raise rates, which could topple a market accustomed to ultra-low rates. It would also pressure companies with large debt loads.
You hypocrite, of course always, all the time, thing could go wrong. Tired od your deceives and hypocrisy
If the guy in charge of your family finance reduces income but racks up credit card debt and gives you some gifts with the borrowed money, you should be very alarmed. Same thing for Trump economy. Don’t believe me? Check Trump’s budget deficit, spending and tax revenue.
Seriously , why so negative? From your headlines to so many of your talking heads spewing doom and gloom. How about we just enjoy the ride higher!
They post this shit when futs are down
Republicans give the economy liquor, take advantage of it, then escape in the cold reality of the next morning.
Just cause he's a prick, Mr.Trump took away most of the safeguard's that Pres.Obama put into place ! So, I would think a blow up is coming !!?
Democrat leaders and MSM want it to dump
Enjoy the bear market designed and delivered by greed and irrational behaviour encouraged by cnbc designed by federalreserve and powell delivered by POTUS
Wake up CNBC to Asia!!!!
Liberals- the sky is falling!!
Why are you so negative? Now you are saying the stock market is too high?! Democrats have officially lost their damn mind.
Sick of fake news! They even doctored this photo to make his face color different. FACT!!!
Buy $noc $lmt $lhx $rtn $dfen
World War III won't help your 401k, Trump fans.
The President!! Dump is a loose cannon!
How about just one 'Here is how it could go right' article. Just one
All the negativity the media pushes and help it go down
This is called a crowded trade (so you can always be a contrarian and go against the tide). Or a black swan event. Andddd there’s nothing you can do unless you can see the future. The end.
Welcome to 2020 We’re entering another tough and dangerous year for stocks and fixed income. It feels like the market sentiment just before the 2008 crash. 1 more catalyst to trigger the fall.
'The US equity market has become totally detached from underlying profitability.' NorthmanTrader askslim
The American Oligarchy gave huge tax gifts to the rich. Every rich person knows almost everything is overvalued. The delusional Republican fantasy of more cheap and fake money for rich people will eventually crash the economy. TaxTheRich TaxScam
The market is going to crash - the fundamentals are so disconnected from valuations is truly frightening.
Yep. The Dems could stay in control of the house. That’s one thing.
More gains are happening because the general public is investing now that trade fees are gone. People putting their money what they believe in. 99% 💪
This brings a lot of uncertainty for global StockMarket and crudeoil market, any turmoil in the MiddleEast will have major impact on prices. Let’s see how the world leaders are prepared to mitigate potential results of war and unrest.
Nothing.
The only thing certain in life is death and taxes.
When sentiment suggests that there is nothing but clear skies ahead for the markets, that’s when the storm you didn’t see coming is suddenly upon you.
Media keeps instilling fear the public -- trying to play into a democratic agenda
Are you kidding with your title? Everyone does not seem to be bullish on the stock market now because of all the concerns you mentioned.
Fed wants their money back?
Fed Don't do what they suppose to do and it is toast, was that one of them--
War?
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