Energy stocks have perked up — here are Wall Street’s favorite sector plays

Energy stocks have strengthened over the past month, but they curiously still trail the remarkable increase in oil prices. Even with crude oil prices up 61% this year, analysts at J.P. Morgan think the U.S. economy can “support” another 66% increase without a significant detriment to consumers’ financial health.Read: Stock market can absorb $130 oil, JPMorgan’s Kolanovic says

But over the past month, the S&P 1500 energy sector has been keeping up, with a 15.4% return as WTI has risen 14.6%. Energy stocks are still cheap “Energy offers attractive risk/reward with improving fundamentals, increasing capital return, as well as low valuation relative to the market and relative to its credit ,” Lakos-Bujas wrote.

But over the long haul, energy stocks have tended to trade higher than the broad index. Over the past 10 years, the average forward P/E for the S&P 1500 energy sector has been 19.8, or 119% of the full index’s 10-year average forward P/E of 16.6. For 15 years, the energy sector’s average P/E has been 17, or 110% of the full index’s average forward P/E of 15.5.

In order to present an energy -stock screen with a broad base, we began with the Russell 3000 Index RUA, which represents about 98% of U.S. stocks by market capitalization.

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