Global equities defy bond market chaos

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The sell-off of government bonds in March has coincided with an unlikely rally across equity markets, led by Australia’s benchmark index.

as traders rapidly shift their expectations of central bank tightening, sparking a sell-off in government bonds.P 500 Index has climbed 3.9 per cent while the US 10-year bond yield has surged 64 basis points to 2.47 per cent. The SP/ASX 200 has risen 5.1 per cent this month, and gained a further 0.2 per cent in early Monday trading.The 6.

The intensifying bond sell-off portrays the market’s swift recalculation of the Fed’s tightening path, with 8.2 one-quarter of a percentage point hikes now priced in for the central bank’s six remaining meetings in 2022, up from 7.7 on Thursday. “If even a hawkish Fed leaves real rates low, then equities should have little to fear,” said Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi’s chief economist.National Australia Bank economists pointed to signs of a de-escalation by Russia as another factor helping risk assets such as shares after Moscow said on Friday it was nearing the end of the first phase of its military operation in Ukraine.

 

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