The explosion of private credit has been met with a whole host of concerns, but among the louder ones more recently is that the industry has not experienced a downturn at scale. And therefore, what does that mean for borrowers when there's some kind of crisis?
"A lot of those folks who took private-credit loans will be stranded when hits the fan," Dimon said."Banks tend to work with the borrower and the middle-market loan in the crisis…in the mark-to-market world of private credit, they have to, as a fiduciary, book it at par."In other words, he said,"private credit hasn't dealt with high interest rates, hasn't dealt with the recession, and it hasn't dealt with high spreads.
We obtained updated figures on Thursday from KBRA DLD, which showed more of a mixed picture when it comes to implied recoveries. The average post-default value of a direct loan was about 53.1 percent, below that of syndicated loans, which were 57.5 percent but higher than high-yield bonds, which were 46.3 percent
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