Going by past market history, this comeback rally should peak by the middle of next week: Nomura

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The clock is ticking for the relief rally to turn sour, according to Nomura macro and quant strategist Masanari Takada.

performance when the market experienced volatility spikes twice in a short period of time. If history is any guide, stocks could peak around Aug. 14, six trading days after the first spike in the Cboe Volatility Index, Takada said.

The market notched a three-day rebound after suffering from their worst day of the year as the U.S.-China trade war escalated. The stock market was on pace to finish the week about unchanged. The strategist predicted Monday's monster sell-off as he had warned clients that hedge funds and other players' bearish positions created a catalyst for an explosion in Wall Street's fear gauge.

 

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