Ray Dalio does the math: Rates at 4.5% would sink stocks by 20% - BNN Bloomberg

“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot ,” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”

The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at close to 4.5 per cent next year, from the current range of 2.25 per cent and 2.5 per cent. Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.

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Ugly selloff pushes U.S. stocks down most since 2020 - BNN BloombergA broad-based selloff sent U.S. equities to their worst day in more than two years after hotter-than-expected inflation data fueled bets on a jumbo hike by the Federal Reserve next week. Treasury yields surged and the dollar gained.
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