Dublin office market still afloat, but expect the unexpected in 2023

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Take-up levels are rebounding but tech sector flutters could spell trouble via IrishTimesBiz

Meta's campus in Ballsbridge, Dublin 4, where the Facebook owner recently scaled back plans for its new European headquartersThe jury is, more or less, out on whether 2023 will bring with it a substantial decline in the Dublin office market after two years of flux and uncertainty.

In its final office market report of the year, Savills Ireland said this week that it expects office take-up in the capital to reach 2.25 million sq ft for the full year, nearly 50 per cent ahead of 2021 volumes but still more than 30 per cent lower than 2019, when deals for a total of more than 3.36 million sq ft were agreed.

All of this combined with the strong employment growth forecast by the Central Bank and others for 2023 – in spite of worsening macroeconomic conditions – indicates that there remains a pretty strong floor under the Dublin market as the new year dawns.However, with tech companies accounting for the lion’s share of the total amount of new office space occupied in Dublin this year, the overall headwinds the sector is facing into cannot be discounted.

Having signed for 310,000sq ft of space in Fitzrovia last year, the Facebook owner is now trying to sublet a block “without ever having moved in”, the paper reported. Office values in London and in the US have shrunk amid rising interest and a tech sector pullback that are combining to create “the biggest challenge since the 2008 financial crisis” for landlords. “Expect the unexpected” might be a good motto to adopt for the new year.

 

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