The barnstorming new year rally on Wall Street is showing signs of faltering as investors brace for a looming drop in corporate earnings caused by deteriorating profit margins, Morgan Stanley warned.
“This is a big deal for equities and reinforces the point that policy is still getting more restrictive directly into an earnings recession,” Morgan Stanley’s chief US equity strategist, Michael Wilson, said., sparking hopes that the US central bank is nearing the end of its aggressive tightening cycle.
Indeed, markets are now pricing a peak in the Fed funds rate of 5.12 per cent in July, or the mid-point of a 5 per cent to 5.25 per cent target range. Traders have also scaled back their expectations of eventual easing to just one 0.25 percentage point rate cut later this year.P 500 gained 1.6 per cent and the Nasdaq jumped 3.3 per cent last week, the broker highlighted that the more cyclical Dow Jones Industrial Average index fell 0.2 per cent.
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