Yearly returns in the Treasury market slipped into negative territory this week as the market sold off on signs that the Federal Reserve may need to keep rates high for a while to contain inflation.
Murphy’s message to clients is this: “In bonds, you earn the money over time.” And those dwindling bond returns since January? “Approach it with a deep breath, and know this is going to work out in the end.” The spike in long-term bond yields makes older, lower-yielding securities look comparatively less attractive. That’s reflected in the yearly return on a key Bloomberg U.S. government bond and note index, which turned negative for the first time since March , when several regional banks failed, stoking fears of a broader banking crisis.
On the flip side, it’s also been one of the best stretches for lenders and bond investors in terms of getting paid to act as creditors since the 2007-2008 global financial crisis, but without a U.S. recession — or at least not yet. Assets in money-market funds hit a record $5.57 trillion for the week ending Wednesday, according to data from the Investment Company Institute.
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