5 Economic Trends That Will Drive the Market in Q4

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Market Overview Analysis by MarketBeat.com (Thomas Hughes) covering: Crude Oil WTI Futures, Heating Oil Futures, ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil, ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil. Read MarketBeat.com (Thomas Hughes)'s latest article on Investing.com

Oil prices and inflation are the biggest risks.

On the hiring end, hiring should hold steady near 150,000-200,000 through the end of the year. Historically, December, January, and February tend to be solid hiring months for non-seasonal employment. In this scenario, wage inflation will persist in the 4% to 5% range.The inflation data does not align with a downtrend, at least not yet. The latest data suggests inflation is accelerating and may increase at the core level over the next 2 months.

While bad news for realtors, homeowners, and the home improvement market, it's great news for home builders. They are supported by historically low inventory and pent-up demand that has the industry on the verge of returning to growth.entered Q4, pulling back from recent highs, but a reversal is not expected. OPEC+ Russia has the oil market skewed toward higher prices and is keeping global production below demand.

 

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