A cold wind is blowing across tech for Wednesday, thanks to Alphabet’s disappointing cloud growth. As MarketWatch’s Therese Poletti says, investors want their AI perks and they want them now.
“We continue to think that we are now…on the cusp of seeing a meaningful slowdown, and that’s why our forecast is that we are going to see a recession at the tail end of this year and the next year , and so I think rates are peaking here,” said Sit, who expects a mild recession will spark a cut to interest rates from around 5.5% to 4.5%.
Sit says Big Tech still has lots of AI benefits in the pipeline. His below chart shows a $900 billion potential market size for AI software by 2026, while another shows the price/earnings ratio for tech, commonly used in company valuations, hardly near the 2000 bubble levels of 50 times: “And the same on the cyclical side and if we’re right, by the tail part of next year, the economy’s going to look better and we want to own cyclical stocks,” says Sit.
The buzz Alphabet GOOGL, +1.69% is down 6% on cloud disappointment, while Microsoft MSFT, +0.37% is up 3% on revenue beats across the board. Texas Instruments TXN, +0.41% is off nearly 5% on a sales miss and weak guidance.
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