Banks including BofA, Morgan Stanley, Citi and Credit Suisse this week told clients to trim exposure to stocks. Some are predicting a sharp fall in prices.
In another possible warning sign, the equity risk premium -- the extra return investors receive for holding stocks over risk-free government bonds -- has turned negative for the first time since 2002, consultancy BCA Research noted on Thursday. The index has nearly doubled from March-2020 lows hit when pandemic hysteria triggered a firesale of assets. The gains have been oiled by vast amounts of stimulus from central banks as well as governments, while economic growth and corporate profits have recovered faster than expected.
On Thursday, the European Central Bank took a small step towards dialling back bond purchases, following Tuesday's decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia to stick with its tapering schedule.Citi's global markets strategist, Matt King, said his biggest concern was that the flow of public and private credit creation was on the cusp of turning negative, a significant moment for markets surfing the cheap cash waves.
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