The Market Indicator Flashing ‘Recession’

Since 1955, every U.S. recession has been preceded by the inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve, meaning that short-dated notes had higher yields than long-dated bonds. Only one time during that period was this a false indicator. On today’s episode, NLW explores yesterday’s yield curve inversion and the market’s interpretation of what they think it means.

“The Breakdown” is written, produced by and features Nathaniel Whittemore aka NLW, with editing by Rob Mitchell, research by Scott Hill and additional production support by Eleanor Pahl. Adam B. Levine is our executive producer and our theme music is “Countdown” by Neon Beach. The music you heard today behind our sponsor is “I Don't Know How To Explain It” by Aaron Sprinkle. Image credit: Malte Mueller/Getty Images, modified by CoinDesk.

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A key bond market indicator is flashing major recession riskA key indicator of fear about an economic downturn flashed red on Monday for the first time since 2006, fueling fears of a recession.
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Why stock-market investors aren't panicking over an inverted yield curveA closely watched measure of the Treasury yield curve briefly inverts, underlining recession worries. Here's what it means for the stock market. Fed is going to keep printing money. Inflation will persist. Keep investing everyone!
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