Treasuries, the dollar and oil prices all rose, while European gas surged on reports of a halt in flow.
The prospect of slower economic expansion alongside persistent inflation is leading to a febrile mood in markets. The panoply of risks spans the pandemic, supply-chain disruptions, Fed tightening and Russia’s grinding war in Ukraine. The search for portfolio buffers in the U.S. is evident in the highest relative cost of loss-protecting put contracts in two years.Article content
“There’s no question that economic growth is in trouble, and that the runway for central banks to manage a soft landing is getting smaller as wages and inflation move higher,” said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments. “The big question for asset allocation is not whether inflation will be high. That’s a given. Instead, it’s whether growth can keep up.”
U.S. corporate earnings are providing some solace for equity bulls — close to 80 per cent of firms have beaten profit expectations including GE, United Parcel Service Inc. and Pepsico Inc. However, disappointing forecasts, including those from JetBlue Airways Corp., are weighing on shares.Stocks in Europe followed those in the U.S. lower, erasing gains earlier in the session from positive corporate results and a sentiment boost from China’s pledge to support its Covid-hit economy.
Most of Beijing is being tested for the virus, fanning fears of an unprecedented lockdown that could drag on global growth. However, Dennis DeBusschere, founder of 22V Research, said concern over the inflationary pressures may be overblown.
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