Pricey Valuations Threaten Best Indian Media Stocks Rally in 14 Years

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Media-related stocks have been all the rage in India, thanks to a mega merger involving a unit of Japan’s Sony Group Corp., and the return of Bollywood blockbusters. Investors are now weighing the sector’s pricey valuations against the potential for future growth.

An equity index that houses India’s biggest operator of cinema screens as well as its top television broadcaster has lost about 6% since reaching a 17-month high in early September. Still, up 31% this quarter through Friday, the gauge is poised for its best performance since 2009. In comparison, a weighted average gauge of 14 Asian media stocks including China Film Co. and South Korea’s Hybe Co. has lost more than 4%.

The Cricket World Cup is an important variable. In India, cricket enjoys a cult-like following, with its massive entertainment appeal rivaled only by Bollywood — as Mumbai’s film industry is known. Together, their clout is unmatched in the local media and entertainment sector, which is touted as one of the biggest beneficiaries of a consumption boom. The sector is poised to grow at a compounded annual growth rate of 9.7% to reach $73.

Ad spending by Indian firms is expected to rise to as much as 10% for the year thanks to the festivities and upcoming matches, according to Karan Taurani, an analyst at Elara Securities India Pvt. That’s up from about 6-7% in the first half of the 2023. Companies are expected to spend a total of 20 billion rupees on promotions on television and digital media during the games, he added.

Investors will be keen to watch if the upcoming movies — from Tiger 3 starring Salman Khan to Dunki featuring Shah Rukh Khan — can live up to their hype. Shah Rukh Khan has delivered this year’s two biggest bollywood hits.

 

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