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Happy Nvidia earnings day

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Geopolitical tensions were on the headlines yesterday after Ukraine fired its first US missile to Russia after having received the green light from the White House following a two-year wait to do so.

And Kremlin relaxed rules that would allow them to use nuclear weapons in case of an attack on its soil. Consequently, the session was marked by a swift flight to safety. Gold and treasuries gained, the Swiss franc tipped a toe below the 200-DMA, and crude oil was better bid. The barrel of US crude remained short of testing the $70pb offers however, as the geopolitical-led rally brought the top sellers back to the market.

The implied volatility for Nvidia shares, based on at-the-money options pricing, stood at approximately 58% for a 30-day period as of November 18 hinting at a potential move of approximately 8-10% in the share price immediately after earnings. That implies a potential move around 1-2% in S&P500, to the upside or to the downside. But it’s hard to say that good results will lead to a good market reaction.

 

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