Why the prospective $70 billion buyout of Walgreens may signal the stock-market rally is about to end

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It's a clear signal that this is the top of the market, LinaSaigol writes.

Walgreens Boots Alliance shares surged Wednesday amid speculation that the U.S.-listed drugstore group has been considering a $70 billion take-private deal.

The volume of leveraged loans has reached $3.4 trillion worldwide, according to estimates from the Bank of England. Credit quality has deteriorated, with most new leveraged loans being issued by companies that have high levels of debt as compared with their earnings. Secondly, Walgreens finances aren’t looking so good. The company’s profit in the fourth quarter plunged 55% to $677 million, compared with the same quarter in 2018. And margins are under increasing pressure as the price Walgreens pays for generic drugs continues to fall, but not as fast as the amount customers pay.

 

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fundstrat Typically these kinds of deals mark the starts of massive bull runs, remembering the Cadbury Kraft deal,

fundstrat I don't follow, nothing in the article explains how the potential buyout signals a top in the markets.

fundstrat Are you thinking this is a signal a downturn is coming 12-24 months?

Walgreens bruh? I could understand a buyout of a high multiple tech, with declining growth prospects. This is no canary..

fundstrat PE of 14, CVS has a PE of 21, Ford 22 Walgreens is cheap with lots of potential EV chargers in their parking lots more customers, cut from electricity sales.

now prices will go up to pay aditional debt, bad fr consumers and shareholders

Grow, grow your stores; merge merrily with someone big. Then search the world of finance and fill with money the hole that you dig. ExpectBetter Insanity Finance

LinaSaigol 🤔. After CVS/Aetna merger something about this deal 'bothers' me. I don't what or why.

LinaSaigol Or it means that the boomers are no longer the largest population group and general-store type pharmacies are no longer a preferred retail channel. Sorry, that is another statistic that DOES NOT mean the market is turning south as a whole. The fear marketing doesn’t work anymore

LinaSaigol Good watch! TXU privatization happened in Feb 2007; markets peaked Oct 2007. Do we still have 7 months before markets peak? Or we're there already?

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