When it comes to inflation, food costs are Americans’ biggest concern, by far, according to a new Yahoo Finance-Ipsos survey on President Biden’s economic policies. And most Americans think inflation will get worse leading up to the 2024 election, even if economic data suggests the opposite.
The outlook for inflation and the broader economy are obvious concerns for Biden. Rising inflation coincided with Biden’s declining approval rating in 2022. Inflation has dropped sharply from a peak of 9% in June 2022 to 3.7%. But Biden’s approval rating isVoters don’t seem to believe inflation is getting better. In the Yahoo Finance-Ipsos poll, 62% said inflation will get worse during the next 12 months, while only 11% think it will go down and 27% think it will stay about the same.
The bad news for Biden is that Independents are roughly as gloomy about inflation and the future economy as the overall electorate. But there may be a silver lining or two Biden could exploit. As much as inflation has dogged Biden’s presidency, voters see other causes besides Biden. In the Yahoo Finance-Ipsos poll, 27% blamed inflation on current government policies, which we interpret to mean Biden, the incumbent. But 70% cited a reason other than Biden.
We found one more gap between perception and reality: Voters have a gloomier view of other people's prospects than they do of their own. Twenty-three percent of poll respondents, for instance, said they’re getting ahead under Biden, while only 5% said that Americans overall are getting ahead. Only 27% said they’ve been falling behind under Biden, but 49% felt other Americans are falling behind.
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