Spencer Platt | Getty Imagesare coiling and compressing as they process jarring events and political suspense, with potential energy building up for eventual release.
This helps explain last week's relative calm and the S&P's ability to log its first weekly gain since August. Wall Street was already assimilating the prospect of a change in the administration for months. Same with the stimulus back-and-forth. Hedgers have been paying premium prices to protect against volatility surrounding the election since the spring.The headlines might be dizzying, but few investors were presuming calm.
BTIG strategist Julian Emanuel asks, "Can record low Treasury volatility persist? Elevated near-to-medium term risks notwithstanding, pressure on long-end yields is arguably tilted to the upside with another round of fiscal stimulus potentially on the way and sustained elevated deficit spending and the Fed's pro-inflationary policy pivot and rebuffing of negative rates.
Citi's global bear-market checklist – meant to flare a warning ahead of a deep and long downturn – now shows 7.5 of 18 risk factors flashing red. This still implies price declines should be bought, according to Citi strategists, though there are more alarms now than there were in February. And the U.S.-specific checklist is now at 10 out of 18 red signals.
There is money to be made with prudent and positive thinking. American ingenuity and innovation is unmatched.
CNBC has a Phish fan.
Here Mike Santoli helping his hedge fund buddies pump and then dump positions onto unsuspecting retail investors before everything crashes.
Yeah sure. You mean up right? Tesla to 1000?
Sounds like CNBC is describing an orgasm.
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