Stocks rallied after hot inflation data 11 months ago. Don't expect a repeat, analyst says.

The S&P 500 began a rally off its cyclical bottom 11 months ago, after the consumer-price index showed hotter-than-expected inflation. A similar move following Wednesday’s data is unlikely, according to Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG.

In October 2022, the gauge of large-cap U.S. equities put in a cyclical bottom at 3,577, according to FactSet data. Since then, the S&P 500 has gained 25%. Still, the percentage of S&P 500 components above their 200-day moving average was only 48% as of Wednesday, well below the historical average, suggesting limited market breadth, according to Krinsky. Market breadth refers to measurements of how many stocks are participating in a move.

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