A view of the Manhattan skyline as seen from Calvary Cemetery during the outbreak of the coronavirus disease in the Queens borough of New York May 5, 2020. — Reuters pic
But fiscal aid is running out and new coronavirus cases are rising in the country, clouding the fourth-quarter picture. Orders for non-defence capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, rose 1.8 per cent last month to the highest level since July 2018. Data for July was revised up to show these so-called core capital goods orders increasing 2.5 per cent instead of 1.9 per cent as previously reported. Core capital goods orders are now above their pre-pandemic level.
Business investment tumbled at a record 26 per cent annualized rate in the second quarter, with spending on equipment collapsing at an all-time pace of 35.9 per cent. Investment in equipment has contracted for five straight quarters. But the economy is far from being out of the woods. Government loan programs to help businesses and income supplements for the tens of millions of unemployed have either lapsed or are close to expiring.
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